brexit, scotland, independence

Who’s responsible for the violence in Northern Ireland? Brexit makes the case for an independent Scotland. https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-55803103 In the end, Scots voted against independence by 55 percent to 45 percent. The combination of independence and Brexit would reduce Scotland’s income per capita by between 6.3 per cent and 8.7 per cent in the long-run, a new study from the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) shows. Some 55.3 percent of voters throughout Scotland voted no, while only 44.7 percent voted yes. By … Scotland rejected independence in 2014, but Brexit has scrambled its politics since then. The idea of Scottish independence has never been about separatism. Over our nearly 50 years of membership, we have benefited enormously from the single market’s “four freedoms,” including freedom of movement. From Berlin to Brussels, Belfast and beyond, leaders are scrambling to shore up no-deal contingencies, finessing plans many hoped would never see the light of day. The past month has been important for Brexit developments, with UK Prime Minister Johnson attempting a ‘last minute’ Brexit deal with the EU. These numbers were widely quoted in the pro-Union media. Brexit has transformed the debate over independent Scottish membership of the EU. The same can be said of our constitutional circumstances. Latest news, analysis and comment on security in Europe and beyond. Speaking at the UK … We didn’t want to leave and we hope to join you again soon as an equal partner as we face the opportunities and challenges of the future together. That’s not surprising. But for some in Europe, a solution may not be so hard to come by. Nicola McEwen, University of Edinburgh discusses the situation in Scotland following Brexit, explaining the complexities and how these might impact support for independence. Indeed an LSE report last month confirmed that changes in trade costs due to independence would be two to three times more costly for the Scottish economy than the impact of Brexit. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICO’s editors and guest writers on the continent. As the United Kingdom inches closer to a no-deal Brexit, the arguments around independence in pro-EU Scotland are gathering pace. Nicola Sturgeon is the first minister of Scotland. It is widely accepted that Scotland is able to become an independent state. Scotland's New Choice: Independence after Brexit Edited by Eve Hepburn, Michael Keating and Nicola McEwen Published: 18 March 2021 by Centre on Constitutional Change, the University of Edinburgh This book provides a guide to anyone seeking to navigate the issues involved in holding a second referendum on independence. Achieving this with minimal disruption while ensuring the European bloc's territorial integrity wouldn't be easy, unionists argue. Legal notice | Published: 17:02 EDT, 24 … Ahead of the 2016 Scottish Parliament election, the pro-independence Scottish National Party (SNP) said that a second independence referendum should be held if there was a material change of circumstances since the 2014 referendum, and specified one of those as the UK leaving the European Union ("Brexit"). Brexit: Scotland is the key to what happens with Northern Ireland An EU alliance between Ireland, NI and Scotland could avert Brexit disaster Mon, Dec 28, 2020, 01:10 Indeed looking at the big challenges, aside from COVID, facing the EU, such as the climate emergency and building a much more inclusive “well-being” economy, Scotland has much to offer. Scotland is heading towards independence from the UK. The overwhelming majority of people in Scotland voted to remain within the EU. By Stephen Glover for the Daily Mail. It is instead about the right of people to decide the form of government best suited to their needs. ANDREW Neil has brilliantly exposed the Scottish Greens co-leader's inconsistency after she made a dig at Brexit while demanding independence for Scotland. Since then, successive Westminster administrations have ignored the country's wish to maintain close ties with Europe, nationalists say, underscored by Boris Johnson's failure to take no-deal off the table. Finally, the paper claims that the combination of Brexit and independence will reduce Scotland’s income per capita, meaning a loss of £2,000 to £2,800 “per person”. The Brexit referendum two years later, however, has lost Scotland access … May 18 — POLITICO Virtual Interview: In Conversation With Nick Thomas-Symonds MP, overwhelming majority of people in Scotland, POLITICO Virtual Interview: In Conversation With Nick Thomas-Symonds MP, Voter distrust and non-stop polling shocks. You can find more information in our data protection declaration. The Scottish National Party (SNP) has been campaigning for independence before and after 2014. And in turn I believe Scotland has contributed a great deal to wider European goals. That right has never been more important given the threat Brexit poses to the internationalist, welcoming European ethos held by so many people in Scotland. You will witness, I think, only empathy," Donald Tusk, former president of the European Council, said earlier this year. Explore the live extension of our journalism, The wonk's survival guide to the EU Green Deal, April 19 — Rewriting the Transatlantic Tech Playbook, April 20 — The coming shakeup of the EU Emissions Trading System. More than 230,000 people from across Europe have made Scotland their home. But for too long, successive U.K. governments have taken Scotland in the wrong direction, culminating in Brexit and the introduction of legislation that had threatened to break international law, and which still undermines the Scottish parliament. Recognizing the different preferences in the different countries of the U.K. (with Northern Ireland as well as Scotland voting to remain and England and Wales voting to leave) the Scottish government proposed a compromise. Brexit and Scotland: Centralism, Federalism or Independence? The Scottish National Party is calling for a second referendum on independence from the UK. Skip to main content Accessibility help We use cookies to distinguish you from other users and to provide you with a better experience on our websites. On COVID-19, Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has completely outperformed Westminster – and that's in spite of all sorts of … In 2014, the SNP's argument was greatly simplified by Britain's European Union membership: An independent Scotland would simply rejoin, and by virtue of England's place in the European community, border issues would be moot. STEPHEN GLOVER: This battle over Scottish independence will make Brexit look genteel. In 2014, Scotland voted against independence from the UK in what was to be a ‘once in a generation’ referendum. STEPHEN GLOVER: This battle over Scottish independence will make Brexit look genteel. Scottish nationalists may have failed in their 2014 bid for independence, but that wasn't the end of the story. By Scott Macnab. Having witnessed one form of nationalism take us out of Europe with little thought for the consequences, we should be wary of another form of nationalism repeating a similar mistake in Scotland. Independence risks economic havoc for Scots Seccession would slash income per capita in Scotland by as much as 8.7pc, experts warn, dwarfing the hit from Brexit Independence for Scotland would be like Brexit on a rocket to Mars, Scottish Liberal Democrat leader Willie Rennie has said.. When Scotland voted to maintain the union with England, the argument that separation would diminish both nations seemed compelling. Brexit, Trade and Scottish Independencepublished today by the LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance, analyses the impact on Scotland’s economy of potential changes in trade barriers resulting from Brexit and Scottish independence. An anti-Brexit, pro-Scottish independence activist displays a flag in Edinburgh on December 31, 2020 | Andy Buchanan/AFP via Getty Images, Campaigning, lobbying and political influence in the EU. Scottish election 2021: How independence and Brexit are shaping the vote By Will Jennings, Sky News election analyst, Carmen Aguilar Garcia and Isla Glaister, data unit Fill 2 Copy 11 So Brexit has reopened the question of Scotland’s place in the United Kingdom, provoked demands for a new referendum, and reshaped the independence … Since the start of 2020, pollsters have given the pro-independence ‘Yes’ campaign a consistent, if marginal, lead over their unionist rivals. Politically, it's a message that's cutting through. It's made me realize that the differences between the two countries might be more than skin-deep, so I'm definitely weighing up whether Scotland is safer going in a different direction.". Independence for Scotland would be like Brexit on a rocket to Mars, Scottish Liberal Democrat leader Willie Rennie has said. "If Scotland is independent in 2025, 2030, I think Brexit will pretty obviously be the main reason for that," warns man who fought 5 years ago to maintain the union Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICO’s editors and guest writers in Europe. As a mature democracy with a developed free-market economy, Scotland shouldn't struggle to meet the bloc's political and fiscal requirements. A Not-So-Brief History of Scottish Independence This primer covers Scottish sovereignty from the Roman era to the Jacobite revolts, the 2014 referendum and Brexit Harry and Peter are young and Scottish, but their similarities end there. Brexit Behind Him, Boris Johnson Tries to Quiet Scotland’s Calls to Leave U.K. Scottish polling shows a majority favor independence. But now, all appears to have been set aside for a … This includes the loss of Erasmus which saw more than 2,000 Scottish students, staff and learners use the scheme each year. In Scotland, the political sands are shifting. By logging in, you confirm acceptance of our POLITICO Privacy Policy. In addition, rejoining the European Union following independence Our people will be less safe and their right to work, study and live elsewhere in Europe will be restricted. But if you ask me about our emotions, there's a genuine feeling. But like any new member state, it would be expected to adopt the euro as currency — unpopular among Scots, a survey suggests — and enter Brussels' Common Fisheries Policy, anathema to the nation's coastal communities. That would have meant the U.K. leaving the EU but staying in the single market but that compromise offer was rejected out of hand by the U.K. government, which wanted then, and still does now, a more distant relationship for reasons it has never been able to explain. Brexit changed the game on Scottish independence – POLITICO Scotland neither voted for Brexit nor for the government that pushed it through. In-depth reporting, data and actionable intelligence for policy professionals – all in one place. Because of Brexit, we can now only do this as an independent member state in our own right. The SNP has at least ruled out an unsanctioned ballot on separation, which would effectively end hopes of EU membership. Yet, in one corner of the continent, a quiet sense of satisfaction simmers. With Brexit, that's no longer the case. Scottish independence (Scottish Gaelic: Neo-eisimeileachd na h-Alba; Scots: Scots unthirldom) is the political movement for Scotland to become a sovereign state, independent from the United Kingdom.. Scotland was an independent kingdom through the Middle Ages, and fought wars to maintain its independence from England.The two kingdoms were joined in personal union in 1603 when the Scottish … "So it's quite difficult to say, ‘That was regarded as justification for having a referendum in 2014,' but it's not justified now.". The prime minister is concerned. Ever since the Brexit result, calls for another referendum on Scottish Independence have been growing, as worries grow over what Brexit might mean for the future of the United Kingdom and Scotland. Independence would introduce a new international border between Scotland and the rest of the UK. The prime minister is concerned. Scotland lost the vote for independence back in 2014, but Brexit has the potential to change the minds of the in favor of staying in the U.K. It finds that the economic costs of independence are two to three times greater than the impact of Brexit. But there's little doubt the collapse of negotiations would aid a secessionist narrative four years in the making. Those efforts are currently fruitless — but that could change after the Scottish Parliament elections in May, experts believe. Sure, once again the SNP is talking about an independence referendum in 2021, but there’s an election coming up in May – and the SNP always now talks about a referendum before elections . Where we have come from? Should a no-deal Brexit come to pass before then, their electoral prospects will be bolstered even further — and so, too, will calls for a second say on independence. Send Facebook Twitter reddit EMail Facebook Messenger Web Whatsapp Web Telegram linkedin. It is therefore not surprising that a consistent majority of people in Scotland now say they are in favor of becoming an independent country. © 2021 Deutsche Welle | ANDREW Neil has brilliantly exposed the Scottish Greens co-leader's inconsistency after she made a dig at Brexit while demanding independence for Scotland. Because of Brexit, Scotland can only contribute to European solidarity as an independent state. Europe Brexit: Scottish independence back in the spotlight. The independence vote in September 2014 saw 55 per cent support the union and 45 per cent opt for independence. "We didn't vote for it up here, and it feels like England is pulling us out of Europe regardless of the consequences. That said, the three polls show how Brexit continues to influence people's views on independence. Such an arrangement would require goodwill from EU chiefs, whose position on Scottish independence has shifted since 2014. Since the start of 2020, opinion polls have signaled a swing away from unionism — which won the day when Scots were balloted on separation in 2014 — and towards independence, championed by Nicola Sturgeon's Scottish National Party (SNP). Brexit Behind Him, Boris Johnson Tries to Quiet Scotland’s Calls to Leave U.K. Scottish polling shows a majority favor independence. A majority of Scots now support independence, after Brexit and the handling of the coronavirus pandemic have diminished the lustre of government from London. "Brexit has created a mess for Scotland and there is no easy solution," he says. Scotland should hold a referendum on independence before 2021 if the U.K. leaves the EU, First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said. Brexit: Scottish independence back in the spotlight Officially, Scotland's pro-independence government wants an agreement: The country's exporters are as exposed to economic turbulence as any. In particular, arrangements concerning Northern Ireland have featured prominently. If you do not have a login you can register here. Latest news, analysis and comment on elections in Europe and beyond. Related articles EU … So one particular irony that may come from Brexit is that the so-called Conservative and Unionist Party – by its absolute insistence on forcing through departure from the European Union – may be instrumental in breaking up the union of England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. We are committed to a legal, constitutional route to becoming an independent state. Scottish nationalists may have failed in their 2014 bid for independence, but that wasn't the end of the story. Scottish independence, like Brexit, is a constitutional project, not an economic one. Scotland seems headed toward independence from the UK, with a new referendum likely. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICO’s editors and guest writers on German politics. Recent polls have consistently found majority support among Scots for … To calibrate our trade model, we start by constructing a new dataset of Scottish trade at the sectoral... Border costs. Brexit is an unwelcome upheaval in the minds of many Scots — a burden foisted upon their nation in 2016, when Scotland voted decisively for Remain. Log in to access content and manage your profile. Back then, the notion of Britain tearing apart at the seams alarmed Brussels stalwarts, always favoring integration over separation. "When you look at the border between Scotland and England, I think talking about making that an electronic border is much more feasible than, for example, the border between Ireland and Northern Ireland," says Fabian Zuleeg, Chief Executive of the European Policy Centre, a Brussels-based think tank. By Glenn Campbell Chief political correspondent, BBC Scotland This column examines the likely effect of changes in trade costs resulting from independence and Brexit on the Scottish economy, finding that independence would be two to three times more costly for Scotland than Brexit. Scottish independence: How Brexit has changed the debate over EU membership. EDINBURGH — The COVID crisis has reminded us as never before of our common humanity as countries across the world face the same huge challenge of keeping people safe. THE EU will try to attach really harsh terms to Scotland's EU membership in order to discourage Nicola Sturgeon's independence bid, a constitutional historian has claimed. The British government's perceived bungling of COVID-19 policy has accelerated this shift, and now, with dwindling prospects of a post-Brexit trade deal, another surge in separatist fervor is anticipated. However, while Brexit might have made the case for Scottish independence stronger, it has also made it practically more difficult. How to fix Brexit’s Northern Ireland protocol problem. As the United Kingdom inches closer to a no-deal Brexit, the arguments around independence in pro-EU Scotland are gathering pace. In the Brexit vote back in 2016, the U.K. as a whole of course voted to leave the EU despite the strong vote for remain in Scotland. Six years ago, the decision seemed simple: With family in England and concerns over Scotland's financial vulnerabilities, backing a united Britain "just felt right." As an independent member of the European Union, Scotland would be a partner and a bridge-builder — not just a bridge to building a stronger economy and fairer society, but a bridge to aid understanding between the EU and U.K. More and more people in Scotland believe our aspirations can best be met by continuing to contribute to the shared endeavor and solidarity that the EU represents. Brexit, trade and Scottish independence Scotland’s trade. It’s no wonder so many people in Scotland have had enough. It's this sort of reasoning that has 29-year-old James Holland reconsidering his stance on separation. But Brexit has supplanted those concerns, and now senior figures seem happy to endorse the idea of a breakaway Scotland rejoining the European family. The U.K. is a voluntary union of countries, in which Scotland has its own distinct legal and education system, and a government and parliament in charge of a range of domestic affairs, such as health and the environment, but not currently — as Brexit has so clearly exposed — issues such as international and European affairs. We use cookies to improve our service for you. Latest news, analysis and comment on defense in Europe and beyond. Should a newly sovereign Scotland accede to the EU, as the SNP intends, it would have to manage an international frontier with the United Kingdom, its largest trading partner. Maybe if Behr lived in Scotland he’d find this democratic deficit as unacceptable as I … The four-year Brexit drama has changed the international perception of Scotland. Recently I have been visiting Yes Groups across Scotland and questions I always get asked are, “can Brexit be stopped?”, “will it be a hard or soft Brexit?”, and “when do I think the Scottish Independence referendum will happen?” Let’s combine those three questions into a timeline as that may offer some clarity. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICO’s editors and guest writers on French politics. The founding values of the EU — human dignity, freedom, democracy, equality, the rule of law and respect for human rights — are Scotland’s values. From the moment that the exit poll predicted thumping wins for the SNP in Scotland and the Conservatives across the UK, the conversation immediately turned to what this meant for Scotland’s constitutional future. "[An SNP victory would] evoke the precedent of the 2014 referendum, because that was conceded by the British government after the SNP won a majority in Holyrood, the Scottish Parliament, with a clear manifesto commitment to seek an independence referendum," explains Professor Aileen McHarg, a constitutional expert at Durham University. Privacy Policy | There are, however, realities to EU accession that complicate the arguments around independence. Nicola Sturgeon has led the SNP's push for another independence referendum, "Because we expect Brexit to have negative consequences for the UK economy, to be disruptive, then the UK no longer looks like the safe option [for Scottish voters]," says Nicola McEwen, Professor of Territorial Politics at the University of Edinburgh. Latest news, analysis and comment on migration in Europe and beyond. In the 2014 referendum campaign, the EU's top official actively discouraged the … "It shifts the balance of risk, where independence is still an economic risk, but so, too, is staying in the Union.". - Volume 26 Issue 4. As it stands, well ahead in the polls, the SNP can feel confident of victory in May. But the question is back on the table. We are comfortable with multiple identities and the other countries of the U.K. will always be not just our closest neighbors, but our closest friends as well. Contact | Mobile version. Fixing who governs you takes precedence over an easy life for supermarkets or civil servants. They are part of who we are, they are our friends and family and we really want them to stay. Neither Brexit nor the pandemic has dampened the spirit of the Scottish Independence movement. With the development of vaccines — in itself an astonishing collaborative international project — we can now look ahead to better days. Scottish protesters have rallied for a second referendum on independence. Protesters gathered at Scottish Parliament in January during the final hours before Brexit. Quite the opposite. We are now faced with a hard Brexit against our will, at the worst possible time in the middle of a pandemic and economic recession. Unfortunately for those of us in Scotland we are, at the same time, at the sharp end of a very different project, driven by very different values: Brexit. BREXIT has slashed Scotland’s exports to the EU, pushed large and small firms to the brink of bankruptcy, created job losses, cost millions in lost orders and left fresh produce rotting in queueing lorries unable to get to European markets in time. With Brexit talks sputtering, though not quite dead, the specter of tariffs, travel restrictions, and towering economic uncertainty looms large over Europe. Three-quarters of Scots say that Brexit will make Scottish independence more likely, a new poll has found. A referendum on independence was held in September 2014, with 55% voting "No" to independence. News Politics Poll: Brexit will hasten independence, say three-quarters of Scots Three-quarters of Scots say that Brexit will make Scottish independence more likely, a new poll has found. The Scottish Government has proposed holding a second referendum on Scottish independence from the United Kingdom (UK). By Stephen Glover for the Daily Mail. Monday, 12th October 2020, 7:00 am. Scotland, like all nations, is unique. Announcing plans for legislation setting the rules of a second independence vote, Sturgeon told the Scottish Parliament that the Brexit process had revealed "the limits of Scotland's influence within the U.K." and strengthened the case for splitting from the union. In 2014, when Scotland voted on independence from Britain, the Glasgow neighborhood went its own way. Instead, the Scottish government is petitioning ministers in London to permit a second referendum. We have been inside the European Union family of nations for nearly 50 years. Officially, Scotland's pro-independence government wants an agreement: The country's exporters are as exposed to economic turbulence as any. But there's little doubt the collapse of negotiations would aid a secessionist narrative four years in the making. That’s the inevitable conclusion to be drawn from the latest opinion polls which show a surge in support for Scottish nationalism. But while Brexit has undoubtedly invigorated the nationalist cause, it also presents challenges. "Emotionally, I have no doubt everyone would be enthusiastic here, in Brussels and more widely in Europe, but still we have treaties and formalities. On climate, for example, we have around a quarter of Europe’s offshore wind and tidal potential. It will mean disruption in the short term, while establishing new, long-term barriers. Speaking at the UK … ... Post-Brexit, Scotland has no option but to choose. 2019 might have been the ‘Brexit election’ but in Scotland independence remains the key political divide, as Rob Johns, Ailsa Henderson, Christopher Carman and Jac Larner report. With Brexit, however, that sense of UK stability has all but vanished. The report’s authors are remiss in not explaining the reality of these calculations. Campaigning, lobbying and political influence in the U.K. What’s driving the day in Paris, en français, The weekly digest of the best stories in U.K. politics. And as we start the process of rebuilding our economies and societies, that same collective spirit will be more important than ever. Brexit: Scotland is the key to what happens with Northern Ireland ... With calls for a Scottish independence referendum and an Irish Border poll … When it was clear there would be no deal or a last-minute deal not worth a jot for Scotland the idea simply moved on to a vague hope of an independence referendum after Brexit. News Opinion Brexit: Scotland only has one way to rejoin the EU and that's independence – Angus Robertson Edinburgh is a European capital city. He agrees with the SNP that a new independence referendum is justified and appropriate. May 5 – Energy Visions Series – Fit for 55 – How will the EU move towards climate neutrality? Published: 17:02 EDT, 24 January 2021 | Updated: 12:31 EDT, 25 January 2021 Between the prospect of Brexit on the one hand and independence on the other, Scottish politics is mired in hypotheticals concerning what could happen were one or …

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